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Depheant
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Post by Depheant »

Guten Raynor wrote:Curious how this article supports your viewpoint...?
Depheant wrote:Here's something that might show I'm not making things up though. And something more.
I was talking about low C02 levels about 300 million years ago and today, that's all.
Lord Zhengyi
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Post by Lord Zhengyi »

Call me crazy, but if I remember 1st grade science class well enough, I seem to recall something about human beings breathing in oxygen (mixed with other gasses such as nitrogen) and breathing out what is primarily carbon dioxide.

Though we might have the highest measured levels of CO2 in the atmosphere according to ancient core samples, couldn't that have something to do with the 6 billion carbon dioxide exhaling bipeds that are walking around? Since humans have only flourished on Earth for a relatively short time, wouldn't it make sense that CO2 levels have never been this high? That is assuming, of course, that all the data presented for the global warming theories isn't just more of the same junk science that is often used in political propaganda.

Being a Florida resident, I recall the nasty 2005 hurricane season we had, and the sheer terror that people like Al Gore tried to shovel our direction when the 2006 hurricane season was approaching. "Watch out! Here comes global warming! All you Floridians are screwed! It will be like 2005 from NOW ON!! Run for your lives!! Ahhhh!!" Of course, in 2006 nothing happened. Then of course scientists dug up some explanation for why we "got lucky" last year. You can't help but wonder how many books and DVDs people can publish and get filthy rich before global warming starts looking less like an environmental problem, and more like a sensationalist marketing ploy.
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Post by broncoblitz »

Yeah science is useless. Whats the point of trying to learn about the world around us? First grade science should be more than enough for everyone right? Who the hell cares?

And no you failed horribly and remembering your first grade science class. 70% of what we inhale and exhale is nitrogen.

Are we directly causing global warming? Who knows. THe earth has been very cyclical in its weather patterns, so it's the height of hubris to think its only people causing it. Could we be accelerating it? Maybe, but any increase in overall temperature to the earth can have a huge effect. If the oceans get hotter they are less effective at trapping CO2 which in turn provides less material for the growth of algae, which is one of the largest producers of O2 in the world. Have we done damage to the world? Probably, but if we do too much it'll just wipe us out and reboot anyway.

But really humans are here but for winning the planetary lottery. We could be wiped out in an instant and in a few million years something else will take over and thrive.
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Post by ChikenKannon »

Shut up Bronco. Brains are for zombies to eat. NOTHING MORE.
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Post by Lord Zhengyi »

Oh, right. I think I mentioned nitrogen in there somewhere, but I got the percentages wrong. Sorry. You're right, I don't care that much.

However, I didn't say science is useless. I do think it's sometimes for sale, though. I think there are so called "scientists" out there who make a career out of selling their "expert opinions" to any politician who approaches them with a checkbook. That is what we call "junk science". Of course global warming exists. The question is how much of it is actually caused by humans, and how much of it is a natural occurence being blown out of proportion by people who stand to gain from the resulting hysteria.

Interestingly enough, I noticed this stange problem with the Earth that has me a bit concerned. There are these giant cracks in the planet's crust that spew out poisonous gas and molten rock. I know this occurs naturally, but it appears to be increasing in frequency. I theorize it's all the buildings we have constructed pressing down on the planet. The pressure is causing the magma to ooze out like toothpaste. I will call my recently discovered phenomenon "global oozing" and I will write a book about it, put out a DVD, and even make it my primary platform in a campaign for the Whitehouse. Of course, we could really use those hundreds of millions elsewhere, but whatever, I wanna be president!

Sound good? Of course it does. Don't forget to vote.
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Post by oaknott »

Zhengyi, There was recently a petition put together in the UK which highlights the very point you are making. It read something like this

THE THREAT FROM DI-HYDROGEN OXIDE!

More people die in the UK from the effects of di-hydrogen oxide than any other non-disease related cause!

Di-hydrogen oxide is being released into the atmosphere by industry everyday! it is falling in our rain! Its in our food, its in our drink! its everywhere!


and so it went on. The petition then called for signatures in a move to ban di-hydrogen oxide. The petition got massive support in its locale, there were letters to newspapers and even a small item was made for local TV, but a researcher spotted that, although the figures where completely accurate and the statements completely true, there was a problem and the piece was never broadcast.

Di-hydrogen oxide is water.

the mortality figures were taken from drownings, dehydration, sailing and fishing accidents and all sorts of similar activities, so the information was true, just very misleading.

It's amazing what Joe Public and John Doe will put their names to when presented effectively. The petiton had been put together by a group of political studies and sociology students as part of their degree studies :)
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Post by Melthavion »

coruscadragon wrote:Just to clarify, Mel: in no way do i condone our current ways of generating energy (primarily through the burning of fossil fuels), i merely meant that we should not make the same mistakes when it comes to other sources of energy. No-one knew that by burning fossil fuels we could possibly alter the climate of the world, and many regarded oil and the like as a never-ending source of energy. Hindsight, 20-20 as it tends to be, shows us that our assumptions were wrong and that there were unforeseen consequences to our harnessing of this energy source. This is one of the reasons i don't think we should rush blindly to embrace any apparent panacea for our energy woes without careful consideration of the long-term ramifications.
I don't think anyone would deliberately suggest such a course. Replacing one problem with another at best just postpones the inevitable. But, nuclear energy is pretty well researched, and I wasn't suggesting we go all-out with it until much more research is done. Unfortunately, as technology grows and we can reap greater benefits from it, the magnitude of the damage that can be wrought with it grows at the same rate, whether from malicious misuse or negligence. It's just that nuclear energy has already shown itself to be safer and cleaner in many respects than fossil fuels, and all indications is that will get better with more advancements. If it doesn't, then obviously it shouldn't be considered.

Guten posted some great links, one even from my alma mater. Unfortunately, there are lots of alternative energy technologies out there, but very few that are even close to becoming a valid candidate for primary energy source replacement. I've read about the solar cell advancements recently from several sources, and the calculations of the land areas that would have to be paneled to provide replacement energy for fossil fuels is still staggering. The biofuel and famine debate highlights the kind of hidden dangers in pursuing alternative energy sources without that lengthy investigation and research history, and viewing the issue from a larger perspective. (Although I've seen arguments for and against it, it obviously shouldn't just be dismissed).

Which I think is the real issue with global warming. There's very real evidence our planet is going through climate change, whether we're a contributing factor or not. The magnitude of our impact on that shouldn't just be dismissed. Which is sort of what the guy in the video was saying, he just extrapolated a very bad argument from that. The real problem with that argument being used in a scientific debate, is that it's in a scientific debate.

Real science uses reality to test assumptions (theories), never assumptions to test reality. That's the realm of mysticism and religion, which is where that logic argument was originally applied.

Looking back in time at a single factor, such as CO2 levels, is also a bad way to predict future trends. Glimpsing a single factor of a complex system and making extrapolations can be a risky game. The carbon cycle of the earth, and how it related to the rest of the rest of the earth's bio-geological cycles could very well have been very different 300 thousand years ago. Nature exists in a "dynamic equilibrium", in which any disruption will cascade effects in the system as it tries to restabilize. Not necessarily with all the components of the system in the same state. This is seen in nuclear and chemical reactions, all the way to gravitational interactions of galaxies, as well as all levels of biological systems. Evidence from Mars suggests that the equilibrium of any system is not beyond total disruption, as that planet very possibly had at one time a significant atmosphere and running water on its surface, but likely never will again (short of some extensive terra-forming). Even though that collapse almost certainly wasn't caused by martians driving their SUVs over zealously.

So, while BB is correct that we exhale (and inhale) mainly nitrogen, and we depend on sea algae for most of our atmospheric oxygen that we breathe, it should not be assumed that the world is capable of recovering from any injury we might cause it. Or that the Earth will continue indefinitely on some broad cycle of life-supporting fluctuations that's just too large for us to detect.

And I don't believe that science is ever for sale, just the gullibility of people to believe in something other than the facts (or anything they're handed in the absence of them).
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Post by Guten Raynor »

Melthavion wrote:the system as it tries to restabilize.
Stop anthropomorphizing mother earth ;)

There is one problem with your 'Global Oozing' theory: Those buildings are made out of the earth... so unless people have been stealing asteroids from space without my knowledge we haven't added any mass (in fact we've been launching some into space to allieviate the pressure... maybe that's the cause of Global Oozing...) 8)
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Post by kikkelipoika »

Though we might have the highest measured levels of CO2 in the atmosphere according to ancient core samples, couldn't that have something to do with the 6 billion carbon dioxide exhaling bipeds that are walking around?
:lol:
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Post by kikkelipoika »

oaknott wrote:THE THREAT FROM DI-HYDROGEN OXIDE!

More people die in the UK from the effects of di-hydrogen oxide than any other non-disease related cause!

Di-hydrogen oxide is being released into the atmosphere by industry everyday! it is falling in our rain! Its in our food, its in our drink! its everywhere!
Double :lol:
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Post by oaknott »

Guten Raynor wrote: anthropomorphizing mother earth ;)
Thats really Gaia :D :lol:
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Post by Chia »

oaknott wrote:Spacey savey
Somebody had a similar petition in the US at some environmental festival.

Got a lot of votes.

Unfortunately, they later used the lack of public awareness (and/or knowledge) to argument that environmental issues are well under control and all of it is just social, unjustified, frenzy.

Addendum:

Somebody from Canadian Financial Post apparently reads Dasaria forums :D

http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/fina ... db11f4&p=4

What I find odd is that his conclusion does not allow for the simple fact that human modification of our environment might cause the models based on past data to be completely false...

Trying hard not to work:
Vaclav Klaus, president of the Czech Republic, argues in the Financial Times that ambitious environmentalism is the biggest threat to freedom, democracy, the market economy and prosperity.
From http://www.ft.com/cms/s/e9df7200-19c7-1 ... 10621.html

Cute.
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Post by Jay Four »

As for the origional post, I wouldn't worry too much what is going to happen when the oil runs out. Because of the way oil exploration works out, running out will be a gradual process. Prices will rise slowly over many years. As things become more expensive people will seek alternatives. It's fairly basic economics.

That doesn't mean that we won't be worse off without oil. With that resource gone we will be worse off, because we will have to work harder or make do with less. But, it won't be abrupt and we will have plenty of time to adapt. Electric and hybrid cars are a good adaption, as is Biodiesel (and Ethanol to a much lesser extent). As oil prices continue to climb, things like these will become more and more popular.

You can legitimately ask how much we should use and how much we should save for future generations. The answer to that is pretty difficult.

Some people would argue for saving it all for future generations, but if everyone did that the resource would be wasted. It's better for us to "invest" the resource. If we can grow our economy - which is one way of saying we advance society - that will be good. A stronger economy will be better able to deal with the loss of oil than a weak one. For example, with more car companies, there would be more money to invest in hybrids. Or alternately, a stronger economy would be more able to build nuclear or wind power plants.

We should use it, but use it responsibly. Obviously we should save some for use in polymer precursors. But the prices should be enough to insure that.

People complain about high prices because they don't want to adjust their lifestyle. The on the other hand some people demand that people adjust their lifestyle. The lifestyles will adjust when prices rise to a level where they are forced to adjust. So in a a sense, the "we must switch" people will ultimately win.

I do think people who argue that the government must force people to change are fundamentally control freaks. The only reason government intervention would be necessary is if the natural economic solution would fail in some way (market failure). Market failure does happen from time to time, for example with pollution. However, for limited oil reserves, there is no market failure.

Most of the people arguing for drastic immediate government intervention either don't understand oil, don't understand economics, or just really want to be in charge and telling people what to do and how to do it. I personally suspect it's mainly #3. Commmand and control is a pretty appealing economic model if you are the person in command. :) So in that sense I do agree that it is a very real threat to freedom.

"Global Warming" is fundamentally a separate issue from oil exhaustion ("Peak Oil") and I think it's valuable to keep them seperate, although they do tend to come up in the same conversations.
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Post by LONOmakesWAR »

The solution for energy production is different depending on the geography and environment of a particular area. The right combo of both renewable and non-renewable sources along with advances in efficiency and use, is the only way to transition away from Oil.

My personal beef with nuclear is that it creates permanent waste that we do not know what to do with. This waste sits in cooling pools near the plant and is surrounded by a chain link fence and patrolled by a fat guard with a stick and flashlight. The amount of money spent on homeland security (shockingly) is NOTHING compared to the money spent overseas and this does not make me feel safer. Therefore this nuclear waste is generally susceptible to dirty-bomb attacks and theft.

I am not against nuke entirely but the security and waste issue are FAR from resolved and I will not support any new nuke plants in US until it is.
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Post by lankycheese »

Melthavion wrote:I've read about the solar cell advancements recently from several sources, and the calculations of the land areas that would have to be paneled to provide replacement energy for fossil fuels is still staggering
We did an assignment a few weeks ago where we had to design on paper a desalination plant that heated the water by solar energy. Even that required a solar reflector area larger then Sydney! Although I'm sure Photovoltaic engineers will one day get them super efficient, they slowly are each day. But I'd say we won't be able to compare it Nuclear energy or fossil fuels for a rather long time.
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